Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Maritimo
30.6%
Draw
33.5%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Maritimo
vs
0.93
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
0-1
14.4%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).