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AHT: 12CSV

23 Nov 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
27.2%
Draw
44.1%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
1.48

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
7.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).