Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Freiburg
27.9%
Draw
27.4%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Freiburg
vs
1.09
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).