Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Mainz
27.5%
Draw
23.4%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Mainz
vs
0.99
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).