Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.9%
Lyon
12.1%
Draw
9.0%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Lyon
vs
0.96
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.576.1%
Over 3.556.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
1-1
5.1%
3-2
4.0%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
5-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).