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HHT: 00CSV

05 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.9%
Salernitana
35.7%
Draw
25.4%
Virtus Entella

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Salernitana

vs
0.75

Virtus Entella

Markets

BTTS34.6%
Over 0.581.3%
Over 1.553.4%
Over 2.525.5%
Over 3.510.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.7%
1-0
16.1%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).