Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Denizlispor
35.5%
Draw
26.3%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Denizlispor
vs
0.99
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.6%
0-0
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).