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AHT: 00CSV

15 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.9%
Trabzonspor
27.0%
Draw
34.0%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Trabzonspor

vs
1.68

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS70.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
1-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).