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HHT: 00

11 Aug 2024 · 16:30

Gent

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.4%
Charleroi
23.6%
Draw
33.0%
Gent

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Charleroi

vs
1.53

Gent

Markets

BTTS65.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
1-3
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).