Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Sheffield United
27.9%
Draw
18.2%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Sheffield United
vs
0.78
Oxford
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).