Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Crewe
28.3%
Draw
33.3%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Crewe
vs
1.03
Barnet
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).