Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Lorient
23.7%
Draw
28.0%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Lorient
vs
1.20
Brest
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).