Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
St Pauli
26.0%
Draw
23.4%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
St Pauli
vs
1.11
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).