Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Dinamo Moskva
36.3%
Draw
35.9%
Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Dinamo Moskva
vs
0.96
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.581.3%
Over 1.554.2%
Over 2.526.0%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.7%
0-1
14.8%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).