Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Udinese
24.4%
Draw
54.5%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Udinese
vs
1.62
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).