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DHT: 10CSV

01 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.6%
Wurzburger Kickers
26.3%
Draw
52.2%
Bielefeld

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Wurzburger Kickers

vs
1.70

Bielefeld

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).