Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Krasnodar
40.0%
Draw
26.1%
Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Krasnodar
vs
0.67
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
BTTS28.3%
Over 0.575.5%
Over 1.544.5%
Over 2.518.3%
Over 3.56.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
24.5%
1-0
17.0%
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.8%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
3-0
2.0%
2-2
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
0-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).