Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Elversberg
23.7%
Draw
17.2%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Elversberg
vs
0.96
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).