Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.8%
Fatih Karagümrük
14.4%
Draw
81.8%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Fatih Karagümrük
vs
2.80
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.4%
0-3
12.5%
0-4
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
1-3
7.2%
1-1
6.9%
1-4
5.0%
0-5
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).