Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.8%
Ferrol
27.6%
Draw
58.6%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Ferrol
vs
1.38
Espanol
Markets
BTTS29.8%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.9%
0-0
15.0%
0-2
14.4%
1-1
10.5%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
0-4
2.3%
2-0
2.0%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).