Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Parma
23.4%
Draw
12.9%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Parma
vs
0.74
Benevento
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).