Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.6%
Lens
14.1%
Draw
7.2%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Lens
vs
0.56
Nantes
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
12.8%
3-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
1-1
6.6%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
3.4%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).