Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Pacos Ferreira
28.0%
Draw
43.3%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Pacos Ferreira
vs
1.22
Aves
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
11.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).