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AHT: 01CSV

16 Sept 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.8%
Kidderminster
30.2%
Draw
41.9%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Kidderminster

vs
1.29

Solihull

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).