Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.8%
Monaco
17.0%
Draw
12.2%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Monaco
vs
0.79
Nantes
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.1%
0-0
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).