Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Werder Bremen
24.6%
Draw
51.1%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Werder Bremen
vs
1.82
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.1%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
3.5%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).