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DHT: 10CSV

23 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.6%
Wealdstone
31.8%
Draw
30.6%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Wealdstone

vs
1.00

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).