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DHT: 11CSV

04 Mar 2025 · 19:45

Sutton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.0%
Solihull
24.3%
Draw
22.6%
Sutton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

Solihull

vs
1.16

Sutton

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).