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02 Mar 2024 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.9%
Ankaragucu
28.0%
Draw
11.0%
Istanbulspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Ankaragucu

vs
0.66

Istanbulspor

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.7%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).