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07 Oct 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.9%
Concarneau
21.1%
Draw
60.0%
Dunkerque

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Concarneau

vs
1.80

Dunkerque

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).