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26 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.5%
Krasnodar
16.6%
Draw
3.9%
Dynamo Makhachkala

Expected Goals (xG)

2.20

Krasnodar

vs
0.35

Dynamo Makhachkala

Markets

BTTS27.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
18.9%
1-0
16.5%
3-0
13.8%
0-0
8.5%
4-0
7.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
5-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
0-1
2.0%
5-1
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).