Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Lokomotiv Moskva
22.4%
Draw
17.4%
Akhmat Grozny
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Lokomotiv Moskva
vs
1.09
Akhmat Grozny
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).