Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
St Etienne
19.8%
Draw
54.5%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
St Etienne
vs
2.22
Lorient
Markets
BTTS68.9%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
1-3
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-1
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
2-3
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).