Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Sochaux
21.9%
Draw
20.4%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Sochaux
vs
0.90
Caen
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).