Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.5%
Lyon
12.5%
Draw
8.1%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.79
Lyon
vs
0.78
Troyes
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.1%
1-1
5.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
3.3%
5-1
3.1%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).