Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
Morecambe
28.9%
Draw
41.5%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Morecambe
vs
1.15
Southend
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).