Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.8%
Maidenhead
17.8%
Draw
72.4%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Maidenhead
vs
2.40
Notts County
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.8%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.2%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
5.7%
0-0
4.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.1%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).