Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →96.7%
Bayern Munich
2.5%
Draw
0.7%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
5.01
Bayern Munich
vs
0.53
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.597.5%
Over 2.591.3%
Over 3.580.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
5-0
10.5%
4-0
10.4%
3-0
8.3%
5-1
5.6%
4-1
5.5%
2-0
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-1
2.7%
1-0
1.9%
5-2
1.5%
4-2
1.5%
3-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).