Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Forest Green
26.3%
Draw
50.0%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Forest Green
vs
1.40
Colchester
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
10.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).