Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Bournemouth
17.2%
Draw
50.1%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.37
Bournemouth
vs
2.89
Bury
Markets
BTTS85.5%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.596.6%
Over 2.589.6%
Over 3.576.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
6.1%
2-3
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
3-3
4.6%
2-4
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
1-1
3.4%
3-4
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).