Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Freiburg
24.9%
Draw
44.2%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Freiburg
vs
1.72
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).