⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 10CSV

05 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
39.8%
Sochaux
26.3%
Draw
33.9%
Red Star

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Sochaux

vs
1.08

Red Star

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).