Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Coventry
22.9%
Draw
16.6%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Coventry
vs
0.68
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
10.2%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).