Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Birtley Town
20.4%
Draw
60.6%
Dunston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Birtley Town
vs
2.02
Dunston
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).