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AHT: 01CSV

30 Apr 2022 · 18:30

Altay

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.1%
Hatayspor
30.6%
Draw
28.3%
Altay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Hatayspor

vs
1.28

Altay

Markets

BTTS60.1%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).