Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.0%
Portsmouth
22.1%
Draw
17.8%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Portsmouth
vs
0.77
Coventry
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).