Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.6%
York
9.7%
Draw
4.7%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
3.48
York
vs
0.81
Dorking
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.593.1%
Over 2.580.1%
Over 3.562.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.6%
4-0
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-1
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
5-0
5.8%
5-1
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
1-1
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).