Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Ingolstadt
29.9%
Draw
47.0%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Ingolstadt
vs
1.38
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
11.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).