Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Alverca
25.2%
Draw
30.7%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Alverca
vs
1.14
Estrela
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).