Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Darmstadt
23.4%
Draw
60.6%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Darmstadt
vs
1.89
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.1%
0-0
7.1%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).